Mr. Gordon describes the Turkish Empire as falling to pieces. The national enthusiasm and religious feeling of the people seem to be gone. The Sultan is unpopular. The populace of Adrianople desires the advance of the Russians, so scandalous has been the conduct of the Asiatics. The Pacha of Egypt gives no a.s.sistance, and thinks the weakness of the Porte const.i.tutes his strength. The people of Trebizond have invited Count Paskewitz.
Erzeroum was lost by the treachery of the Janizaries.
The Sultan has acceded to the Treaty of London. This accession is qualified, but not in such a manner as to preclude negotiation. He has consented to treat with Russia, to give freedom to the navigation of the Black Sea, and to observe the Treaty of Akerman--but he stipulates for the integrity of the Ottoman dominions in Europe and Asia. He has not, however, sent Plenipotentiaries.
General m.u.f.fling, the Prussian, is arrived at Constantinople. He reports the moderate views of the Emperor Nicholas, and states them.
The French Government, from the information it derived from its Minister at Berlin, has instructed Count Guilleminot to declare to the Turks the terms on which Russia will make peace. Russia requires the execution of the Treaty of Akerman--indemnity--(but moderate) for the expenses of the war and the losses sustained by her commerce, for which indemnity, as it seems, she is willing to take Anapa.
She requires the free navigation of the Dardanelles for all nations. This cession to be secured by treaty, not by territorial occupation.
The terms of the Turks are not very dissimilar; but as Count Dieb.i.t.c.h has orders to advance till preliminaries are signed, a catastrophe may take place still.
Mr. Gordon managed to get a paper into the Sultan"s own hands, which may have led in some measure to this result. He naturally gave credit to the information contained in the Despatches of Count Guilleminot, but the French Government have no authority for their opinion as to the terms on which Russia will make peace. No communication to that effect has been made officially to them.
The French and Russian Ministers at the Conference said they could not act on Mr. Gordon"s letter, which is as yet uncorroborated by Count Guilleminot. They could not yet act as if Turkey had acceded to the Treaty of London.
The Russians would now declare the independence of Greece within the Gulfs of Volo and Arta, and they wanted Aberdeen to take that instead of the treaty. He thought he could get them to declare the independence of Greece _within the Morea_--that they would be satisfied with that, and that, if they would, we had better secure that for the Turks now, than run the risk of the event of war and of the extension which might be given to the terms which might be forced upon them under the Treaty of London.
However, even admitting that the Russians would be content with the independence of Greece within the Morea (with Attica, [Footnote: Attica was still held by the Turks, having been reconquered after its first occupation by the Greeks.] by-the-bye), it was the opinion of the Duke and of every one (but Aberdeen) that it would neither be generous nor honourable to force upon the Turks in their distress terms which _they_, attaching much value to the _suzerainete_, might think less favourable than what they might obtain under the Treaty of London, and that we should be drawing ourselves into the embarra.s.sment of what would be practically a new treaty at the moment that we were beginning to entertain hopes of getting out of that which had so long hara.s.sed us.
Upon the whole, I think the aspect of Eastern affairs is better than it has been since we have been a Government.
Dieb.i.t.c.h is said to have 35,000 men, and a reserve of 40,000. I doubt the reserve being so strong. The 15,000 from Sebastopol have joined.
Paskewitz is made Grand Cross of St. George.
Dieb.i.t.c.h will be so, of course.
The King, Peel said, is very blind. He has lost the sight of one eye. The Duke said when he was at Windsor last, the King was particularly civil to him, and Peel and the Duke were both of opinion that the King would be most cordial with the Government if the Duke of c.u.mberland were away, and was now more so than could be expected under his influence.
Aberdeen seems to have written the letter to Stuart, and Stuart to have communicated it to Prince Polignac. Stuart"s idea is that Polignac has had too much to do in fixing himself to think much of foreign politics. He expressed himself, however, disposed to consult with England as to the measures which should be adopted if Russia should break her engagements.
Several representations have been made to France for the withdrawing of the French troops from the Morea--but hitherto without effect. These troops keep the country quiet, and enable the whole force of the Greek State to act offensively. Thus, a.s.sisted by French and Russian money, the Greeks have acquired possession of everything within the Gulfs of Volo and Arta, except the Island of Negropont.
_September 1, 1829._
Read with attention a paper of Courtney"s on Leach"s observations. Wrote some memoranda upon it, which I shall send with it to the Duke, when I have got from Shepheard a statement of the benefit derived by the territory from the fixed rate of exchange. It is a valuable paper. I have written to thank him for it, and to ask him to give me the result of his considerations on the mode of transferring the Government of India from the Company to the King, without materially increasing the patronage of the Crown; and likewise the view he takes of the alterations it would be desirable to introduce, if the Company should continue to govern India, in the powers of the Board of Control and in its relations with the Court.
_September 3._
The Directors are much afraid of the Russians. So am I, and the Russians begin to threaten us. They hint that they have open to them the route to Bagdad, and they announce the presence in Petersburg of an Afghan Chief, and of Amba.s.sadors from Runjeet Singh.
I feel confident we shall have to fight the Russians on the Indus, and I have long had a presentiment that I should meet them there, and gain a great battle. All dreams, but I have had them a long time.
I have some idea of a secret letter to Bombay, directing the Government to take possession of the Island of Karak, [Footnote: A small island in the Persian Gulf to the north-west of Bushire.] and of any other tenable point to seal the Euphrates, in the event of the Russians moving down.
Loch wants to dethrone Runjeet Singh!
_September 4, 1829._
Saw Colonel Willoughby Cotton, who commanded _en second_ in Ava. He has lately visited, as Adjutant-General of King"s troops, all the stations of the army in Bengal. He says no army can be in finer order. Lord Combermere has weeded all the old men. The regiments manoeuvre beautifully.
Lord C. wishes to have two King"s regiments cantoned under the Himalaya Mountains, where the climate is as good as in England.
Runjeet Singh has conquered Cabul and Cashmere. He has French officers at the head of his infantry and cavalry, and about five others. His artillery he keeps under his own family. He has of regular troops 30,000 infantry, and 10,000 cavalry, about eighty guns. All these easily a.s.sembled near the capital.
He is old, and when he dies his two sons are likely to quarrel and call us in.
The two ex-Kings of Cabul are living at Ludeana on pensions. Zemaun Shah, the blind King, and his brother, who was King in Mr. Elphinstone"s time.
Colonel Cotton speaks most highly of the Madras troops. They are more disposable than the Bengal troops, more free from prejudice of caste.
He regrets the reduction of the bodyguard which conducted itself n.o.bly in Ava. I like a guard, and I would have an infantry as well as a cavalry guard, to be formed by picked men.
Colonel Willoughby Cotton says Colonel Skinner is about 55. His son is a merchant, and goes every year into Cashmere for shawls. Skinner has still about 1,300 men, and is quartered not far from Delhi. His people fire the matchlock over the arm at full gallop, and with correct aim. They strike a tent-peg out of the ground with their lances.
_September 5._
Received an answer from the Duke. He thinks the question of the six regiments begins to be serious, as the Court throw upon the Government the responsibility of running the risk of a mutiny in the army--desires to see the paper, which I have sent him, and says it must go to the Cabinet.
I feel satisfied I am right. If the Cabinet give in to the Court, they weaken my hands so much that I shall be unable to effect any great reform.
They make the Directors the real Ministers of India, and almost emanc.i.p.ate the Indian Government. So I told the Duke in my letter.
_September 7._
Office. Saw Sir A. Campbell. He came to offer himself for a command in India. I spoke to him of his papers respecting war with the Burmese. He says large boats carrying 100 men could go up to Aeng, the troops need not land at Ramree. He was never an advocate for a diversion at Rangoon, and thinks they make too much fuss about the frontier of Munnipore.
Saw a Mr. Cotton, for a long time collector of Tanjore. He is against introducing the Ryotwaree settlement into that country, and by his account it seems very ill adapted to it, for according to him the Mura.s.sidars are there really proprietors, and with them the settlement is now made for the village.
I sent for him to tell me about the iron I had understood to be in the neighbourhood of Tanjore; but there is none, it is at Satara. He seems a sensible man, and I must see him again.
The Turks seem to have endeavoured to back out of their accession to the Treaty of London, or rather to clog it with insuperable objections. But Mr.
Gordon has brought them back again, and on August 12 all was right, but no Plenipotentiaries sent. The Russians were said to be moving on Adrianople.
They had not above 35,000 men. There is a very bad account from Smyrna of the state of the population in Asia. In fact the Duke of Wellington"s prediction is fulfilled. The Turkish Empire is breaking to pieces. By Lord Heytesbury"s account the Russians are very desirous of peace, and very apprehensive that a popular tumult may put an end to the Sultan. It is impossible to see the end of the calamities which would occur, complicated as they would be, if such an event as the dissolution of the Turkish Empire took place.
The new French Ministry is changing the munic.i.p.alities. They hope to succeed at the next elections. Lord Stuart considers M. de la Bourdonnaye as the real head.
Polignac very prudently rests on his oars as to Greece, and properly observes it is idle to make protocols here when the march of events may have altogether changed the state of things before the protocols arrive.
_September 8._
Office at 11. Went to the Duke. He read to me a long letter he had written on the question of the six regiments, in which he entered at length into the state of the Indian army such as he knows it to be, and concludes in favour of a revision of the line I had adopted with his approbation. He said the Government of India was wrong--every line of the proposed letter abstractedly right; but there was to be considered the expediency of writing it.