For an avalanche to occur, then, he murmurs, something has to either increase the stress or decrease the cohesion. The process by which the ratio changes can be gradual, or some kind of incident.

And then we"re silent. Does he know I"m weeping? I do my best to remain discreet, and he makes no indication that he"s heard.

A boy makes a happy gesture in the snow: a gesture meant to signal We"re so close. Fractures streak away from his ski at the speed of sound, find the stress lines beneath the surface, and generate the ruptures that cause the release.

I once refused to sit still for one of my mother and brother"s walks. I was twelve. He explained I wasn"t invited. I"d been once again baffled and once again unwilling to explain that I was upset. "Leave him alone," my father counseled, indicating me. He felt as left out of my mother"s plans as I was. In his last letter to me, after I arrived at the hut, he wrote My memory is going! I"ll devote the rest of my energies to digging potatoes and other pursuits suitable to a second childhood. My sister wrote soon after Your mother now has nothing to do with him, or with me. I"ve always been the one ignored. You always were the one who shed suffering and went off to your life. I wanted to write back that in our family the most exacting labor had been required to obtain the bleakest of essentials. I wanted to confide to her my devotion to Ruth. I wanted to ask her what it meant when women did the sorts of things Ruth had done outside the coffee shop. I wanted to tell her the story our father had told us about how old Balmat, having conducted the empress Eugenie around a glacier, kept for the rest of his life the piece of chocolate that, upon their return, she"d broken in half to share with him. I wanted to tell her that I was like the man who after a cataclysm tethered his horse in the snow to an odd little hitching post that revealed itself the next morning to be the top of a church steeple.

But in the end I wrote nothing. Because mostly I wanted to write to Ruth. Because my sister was right: I had what I thought I required. I had my resentments, and my work, and I made my choices with even more ruthlessness than the rest of my family.

Haefeli is asleep now, as well, his breathing uncertain, as though awaiting that offstage tremor. We"ve learned more than any who"ve come before us what to expect, and it will do us less good than if we"d learned nothing at all. Tonight, or tomorrow night, or some night thereafter, the slopes above us will lose their patience and sound their release. We"ll be overwhelmed with snow as if in a flume of water, the sensation of speed fantastic. We"ll none of us cry out, for our leader has instructed us, in or out of an avalanche, to keep our mouths shut, whatever our impulses to open ourselves to the snow"s power. We"ll be uncovered, months later, gingerly, because no one likes to touch the faces when recovering the bodies. Bucher will appear as though he"s come to rest in midsomersault, Bader as though he were still swimming freestyle, downhill. Haefeli will have his arms extended, as if having embraced what the mountain would bring. And I"ll be discovered petrified as though lunging forward, flung far from my companions" resting place, my eyes open, my shoulders back, my expression that familiar one of perpetual astonishment.

Helen Simpson.

Diary of an Interesting Year.

February 12, 2040. My thirtieth birthday. G. gave me this little spiral-bound notebook and a Biro. It"s a good present, hardly any rust on the spiral and no water damage to the paper. I"m going to start a diary. I"ll keep my handwriting tiny to make the paper go further.

February 15th. G. is really getting me down. He"s in his element. They should carve it on his tombstone: I WAS RIGHT.

February 23rd. Glad we don"t live in London. The Hatchwells have got cousins staying with them-they trekked up from Peckham (three days). Went round this afternoon and the cousins were saying the thing that finally drove them out was the sewage system-when the drains backed up, it overflowed everywhere. They said the smell was unbelievable. The pavements were swimming in it, and of course the hospitals are down, so there"s nothing to be done about the cholera. Didn"t get too close to them in case they were carrying it. They lost their two sons like that last year.

"You see," G. said to me on the way home, "capitalism cared more about its children as accessories and demonstrations of earning power than for their future."

"Oh, shut up," I said.

March 2nd. Can"t sleep. I"m writing this instead of staring at the ceiling. There"s a mosquito in the room, I can hear it whining close to my ear. Very humid, air like filthy soup, plus we"re supposed to wear our face masks in bed, too, but I was running with sweat, so I ripped mine off just now. Got up and looked at myself in the mirror on the landing-ribs like a fence, hair in greasy rats" tails. Yesterday the rats in the kitchen were busy gnawing away at the bread bin, they didn"t even look up when I came in.

March 6th. Another quarrel with G. OK, yes, he was right, but why crow about it? That"s what you get when you marry your tutor from Uni-wall-to-wall pontificating from an older man. "I saw it coming, any fool could see it coming, especially after the Big Melt," he brags. "Thresholds crossed, cascade effect, hopelessly optimistic to a.s.sume we had till 2060, blahdy blahdy blah, the plutonomy as lemming, democracy"s ma.s.sive own goal." No wonder we haven"t got any friends.

He cheered when rationing came in. He"s the one who volunteered first as car-share warden for our road; one piddling little Peugeot for the entire road. He gets a real kick out of the camaraderie round the standpipe.

-I"ll swap my big tin of chickpeas for your little tin of sardines.

-No, no, my sardines are protein.

-Chickpeas are protein, too, plus they fill you up more. Anyway, I thought you still had some tuna.

-No, I swapped that with Violet Huggins for a tin of tomato soup.

Really sick of bartering, but hard to know how to earn money since the Internet went down. "Also, money"s no use unless you"ve got shedloads of it," as I said to him in bed last night. "The top layer hanging on inside their plastic bubbles of filtered air while the rest of us shuffle about with goiters and tumors and bits of old sheet tied over our mouths. Plus, we"re soaking wet the whole time. We"ve given up on umbrellas, we just go round permanently drenched." I stopped ranting only when I heard a snore and clocked that he was asleep.

April 8th. Boring morning washing out rags. No wood for hot water, so had to use ashes and lye again. Hands very sore, even though I put plastic bags over them. Did the face masks first, then the rags from my period. Took forever. At least I haven"t got to do nappies, like Lexi or Esme-that would send me right over the edge.

April 27th. Just back from Maia"s. Seven months. She"s very frightened. I don"t blame her. She tried to make me promise I"d take care of the baby if anything happens to her. I havered (mostly at the thought of coming between her and that throwback Martin-she had a new black eye, I didn"t ask). I suppose there"s no harm in promising if it makes her feel better. After all, it wouldn"t exactly be taking on a responsibility-I give a new baby three months max in these conditions. Diarrhea, basically.

May 14th. Can"t sleep. Bites itching, trying not to scratch. Heavy thumps and squeaks just above, in the ceiling. Think of something nice. Soap and hot water. Fresh air. Condoms! Sick of being permanently on knife edge re pregnancy.

Start again. Wandering round a supermarket-warm, gorgeously lit-corridors of open fridges full of tiger prawns and fillet steak. Gliding off down the fast lane in a sports car, stopping to fill up with thirty liters of petrol. Online, booking tickets for The Mousetrap, click, ordering a crate of wine, click, a vacation home, click, a pair of patent-leather boots, click, a gap year, click. I go to iTunes and download The Marriage of Figaro, then I chat face-to-face in real time with G."s parents in Sydney. No, don"t think about what happened to them. Horrible. Go to sleep.

May 21st. Another row with G. He blew my second candle out, he said one was enough. It wasn"t, though. I couldn"t see to read anymore. He drives me mad-it"s like living with a policeman. It always was, even before the Collapse. "The earth has enough for everyone"s need, but not for everyone"s greed" was his favorite. n.o.body likes being labeled greedy. I called him Killjoy and he didn"t like that. "Every one of us takes about twenty-five thousand breaths a day," he told me. "Each breath removes oxygen from the atmosphere and replaces it with carbon dioxide." Well, pardon me for breathing! What was I supposed to do-turn into a tree?

June 6th. Went round to the Lumleys" for the news last night. Whole road there squashed into front room, straining to listen to radio-batteries very low (no new ones in the last government delivery). Big news, though: compulsory billeting imminent. The Shorthouses were up in arms, Kai shouting and red in the face, Lexi in tears. "You work all your life," etc., etc. What planet is he on? None of us too keen, but nothing to be done about it. When we got back, G. checked our stash of tins under the bedroom floorboards. A big rat shot out and I screamed my head off. G. held me till I stopped crying, then we had s.e.x. Woke in the night and prayed not to be pregnant, though G.o.d knows who I was praying to.

June 12th. Visited Maia this afternoon. She was in bed, her legs have swollen up like balloons. On at me again to promise about the baby, and this time I said yes. She said Violet Huggins was going to help her when it started-Violet was a nurse once, apparently, not really the hands-on sort but better than nothing. n.o.body else on the road will have a clue what to do now that we can"t Google it. "All I remember from old films is that you"re supposed to boil a kettle," I said. We started to laugh, we got a bit hysterical. Knuckle-dragger Martin put his head round the door and growled at us to shut up.

July 1st. First billet arrived today by army truck. We"ve got a Spanish group of eight, including one old lady, her daughter, and twin toddler grandsons (all pretty feral), plus four unsmiling men of fighting age. A bit much, since we have only two bedrooms. G. and I tried to show them round but they ignored us. The grandmother bagged our bedroom straight off. We"re under the kitchen table tonight. I might try to sleep on top of it because of the rats. We couldn"t think of anything to say-the only Spanish we could remember was "muchas gracias," and, as G. snapped, we"re certainly not saying that.

July 2nd. Fell off the table in my sleep. Bashed my elbow. Covered in bruises.

July 3rd. G. depressed. The four Spaniards are bigger than him, and he"s worried that the biggest one, Miguel, has his eye on me (with reason, I have to say).

July 4th. G. depressed. The grandmother found our tins under the floorboards and all but danced a flamenco. Miguel punched G. when he tried to reclaim a tin of sardines and since then his nose won"t stop bleeding.

July 6th. Last night under the table G. came up with a plan. He thinks we should head north. Now that this lot are in the flat and a new group from Tehran promised next week, we might as well cut and run. Scotland"s heaving-everyone else has already had the same idea-so he thinks we should get on one of the ferries to Stavanger, then aim for Russia.

"I don"t know," I said. "Where would we stay?"

"I"ve got the pop-up tent packed in a rucksack behind the shed," he said. "Plus our sleeping bags and my windup radio."

"Camping in the mud," I said.

"Look on the bright side," he said. "We have a huge mortgage and we"re just going to walk away from it."

"Oh, shut up," I said.

July 17th. Maia died yesterday. It was horrible. The baby got stuck two weeks ago, it died inside her. Violet Huggins was useless, she didn"t have a clue. Martin started waving his Swiss Army knife around on the second day and yelling about a cesarean-he had to be dragged off her. He"s round at ours now drinking the last of our precious brandy with the Spaniards. That"s it. We"ve got to go. Now, says G. Yes.

August 1st. Somewhere in Shropshire, or possibly Cheshire. We"re staying off the beaten track. Heavy rain. This notebook"s pages have gone all wavy. At least Biro doesn"t run. I"m lying inside the tent now. G. is out foraging. We got away in the middle of the night. G. slung our two rucksacks across the bike. We took turns wheeling it, then on the fourth morning we woke up and looked outside the tent flap and it was gone, even though we"d covered it with leaves the night before.

"Could be worse," G. said. "We could have had our throats cut while we slept."

"Oh, shut up," I said.

August 3rd. Rivers and streams all toxic-fertilizers, typhoid, etc. So we"re following G."s DIY system. Dip billycan into stream or river. Add three drops of bleach. Boil up on camping stove with T-shirt stretched over billycan. Only moisture squeezed from the T-shirt is safe to drink; nothing else. "You"re joking," I said, when G. first showed me how to do this. But no.

August 9th. Radio news in muddy sleeping bags-skeleton government obviously struggling, they keep playing the Enigma Variations. Last night they announced the end of fuel for civilian use and the compulsory disabling of all remaining civilian cars. From now on we must all stay at home, they said, and not travel without permission. There"s talk of martial law. We"re going cross-country as much as possible-less chance of being arrested or mugged-trying to cover ten miles a day, but the weather slows us down. Torrential rain, often horizontal in gusting winds.

August 16th. Rare dry afternoon. Black lace clouds over yellow sky. Brown gra.s.s, frowsty gray mold, fungal frills. Dead trees come crashing down without warning-one nearly got us today, it made us jump. G. was hoping we"d find stuff growing in the fields, but all the farmland round here is surrounded by razor wire and armed guards. He says he knows how to grow vegetables from his gardening days, but so what. They take too long. We"re hungry now-we can"t wait till March for some old carrots to get ripe.

August 22nd. G. broke a front crown cracking a beechnut, there"s a black hole and he whistles when he talks. "Damsons, blackberries, young green nettles for soup," he said at the start of all this, smacking his lips. He"s not so keen now. No damsons or blackberries, of course-only chickweed and ivy.

He"s just caught a lame squirrel, so I suppose I"ll have to do something with it. No creatures left except squirrels, rats, and pigeons, unless you count the insects. The news says they"re full of protein-you"re meant to grind them into a paste-but so far we haven"t been able to face that.

August 24th. We met a pig this morning. It was a bit thin for a pig, and it didn"t look well. G. said, "Quick! We"ve got to kill it."

"Why?" I said. "How?"

"With a knife," he said. "Bacon. Sausages."

I pointed out that even if we managed to stab it to death with our old kitchen knife, which seemed unlikely, we wouldn"t be able just to open it up and find bacon and sausages inside.

"Milk, then!" G. said wildly. "It"s a mammal, isn"t it?"

Meanwhile, the pig walked off.

August 25th. Ravenous. We"ve both got streaming colds. Jumping with fleas, itching like crazy. Weeping sores on hands and faces-unfortunate side effects from cloud seeding, the news says. What with all this and his toothache (back molar, swollen jaw) and the malaria, G. is in a bad way.

August 27th. Found a dead hedgehog. Tried to peel off its spines and barbecue it over the last briquette. Disgusting. Both sick as dogs. Why did I moan about the barter system? Foraging is MUCH MUCH worse.

August 29th. Dreamed of Maia and the Swiss Army knife and woke up crying. G. held me in his shaky arms and talked about Russia, how it"s the new land of milk and honey since the Big Melt. "Some really good farming opportunities opening up in Siberia," he said through chattering teeth. "We"re like in Three Sisters," I said. " "If only we could get to Moscow." Do you remember that production at the National? We walked by the river afterward, we stood and listened to Big Ben chime midnight." Hugged each other and carried on like this until sleep came.

August 31st. G. woke up crying. I held him and hushed him and asked what was the matter. "I wish I had a gun," he said.

September 15th. Can"t believe this notebook was still at the bottom of the rucksack. And the Biro. Murderer wasn"t interested in them. He"s turned everything else inside out (including me). G. didn"t have a gun. This one has a gun.

September 19th. M. speaks another language. Norwegian? Dutch? Croatian? We can"t talk, so he hits me instead. He smells like an abandoned fridge, his breath stinks of rot. What he does to me is horrible. I don"t want to think about it. I won"t think about it. There"s a tent and cooking stuff on the ground, but half the time we"re up a tree with the gun. There"s a big plank platform and a tarpaulin roped to the branches above. At night he pulls the rope ladder up after us. It"s quite high-you can see for miles. He uses the platform for storing stuff he brings back from his mugging expeditions. I"m surrounded by tins of baked beans.

October 3rd. M. can"t seem to get through the day without at least two b.l.o.w. .j.o.bs. I"m always sick afterward (sometimes during).

October 8th. M. beat me up yesterday. I"d tried to escape. I shan"t do that again, he"s too fast.

October 14th. If we run out of beans I think he might kill me for food. There were warnings about it on the news a while back. This one wouldn"t think twice. I"m just meat on legs to him. He bit me all over last night, hard. I"m covered in bite marks. I was literally licking my wounds afterward when I remembered how nice the taste of blood is, how I miss it. Strength. Calves" liver for iron. How I haven"t had a period for ages. When that thought popped out I missed a beat. Then my blood ran cold.

October 15th. Wasn"t it juniper berries they used to use? As in gin? Even if it was, I wouldn"t know what they looked like-I remember only mint and basil. I can"t be pregnant. I won"t be pregnant.

October 17th. Very sick after drinking rank juice off random stewed herbs. Nothing else, though, worse luck.

October 20th. Can"t sleep. Dreamed of G. I was moving against him, it started to go up a little way, so I thought he wasn"t really dead. Dreadful waking to find M. there instead.

October 23rd. Can"t sleep. Very bruised and scratched after today. They used to throw themselves downstairs to get rid of it. The trouble is the gravel pit just wasn"t deep enough, plus the bramble bushes kept breaking my fall. There was some sort of body down there, too, seething with white vermin. Maybe it was a goat or a pig or something, but I don"t think it was. I keep thinking it might have been G.

October 31st. This baby will be the death of me. Would have been. Let"s make that a subjunctive. "Would have been," not "will."

November 7th. It"s all over. I"m still here. Too tired to November 8th. Slept for hours. Stronger. I"ve got all the food and drink, and the gun. There"s still some shouting from down there but it"s weaker now. I think he"s almost finished.

November 9th. Slept for hours. Fever gone. Baked beans for breakfast. More groans started up just now. Never mind. I can wait.

November 10th. It"s over. I got stuck into his bottle of vodka-it was the demon drink that saved me. He was out mugging-left me up the tree as usual-I drank just enough to raise my courage. Nothing else had worked, so I thought I"d get him to beat me up. When he came back and saw me waving the bottle he was beside himself. I pretended to be drunker than I was and I lay down on the wooden platform with my arms round my head while he got the boot in. It worked. Not right away but that night.

Meanwhile, M. decided he fancied a drink himself, and very soon he"d polished off the rest of it-more than three-quarters of a bottle. He was singing and sobbing and carrying on, out of his tree with alcohol, and then, when he was standing p.i.s.sing off the side of the platform, I crept along and gave him a gigantic shove and he really was out of his tree. Crash.

November 13th. I"ve wrapped your remains in my good blue shirt; sorry I couldn"t let you stay on board, but there"s no future now for any baby aboveground. I"m the end of the line!

This is the last page of my thirtieth-birthday present. When I"ve finished it I"ll wrap the notebook up in six plastic bags, sealing each one with duct tape against the rain, then I"ll bury it in a hole on top of the blue shirt. I don"t know why, as I"m not mad enough to think anybody will ever read it. After that I"m going to buckle on this rucksack of provisions and head north with my gun. Wish me luck. Last line: Good luck, good luck, good luck, good luck, good luck.

Judy Doenges.

Melinda.

When I first met James, he was a meth chef. This year he doesn"t need to cook because he has another guy to do it. The chef has runners-guys who take the city bus from drugstore to drugstore to get antihistamine for our special ingredient, one legal box at a time. Now James is our punisher, our savior, our iron-and-bra.s.s man. He gives us our worktable and our tools: pens, tape, change of address cards, Mountain Dew, cell phones, shards, and pipe.

When he"s not cleaning and cleaning, RJ Dumpster dives and rifles through cans and recycling bins for credit-card bills and bank statements, sometimes just feathers of paper, and then he dumps the pile on our worktable. Ripped to the winds, no problem, James says today, his hand heavy on Little Fry"s neck. She bows her head and starts sifting. There"s nothing a tweaker can"t do if she sets her mind to it, James says. Right, Fritzie? he asks me.

It"s blue-snow December outside and it stinks of cigarettes inside. Little Fry needs a shower. I need to get busy, James says to me. He tries to put his hand on my neck, but I shrug him off.

When I first met James, I was Melinda Renee von Muehldorfer and I lived at 145 South Poplar. My grandma told me once that von means my ancestors were German royalty. James says, You"re out of your castle now, babe. After I graduated, ruined my parents" credit rating, sold everything except my ice skates, and moved in with James at the farm, I was Fritzie, no last name, just a girl good at asking for things.

Little Fry tapes strip to strip until she finds a number or a name or both. Today she looks like a cartoon of someone concentrating, the tip of her tongue working around her lips, her hands shaking. She"s not very good with numbers and names, so she turns her creations over to me.

Look at this, Fritzie, Little Fry says. Here"s one like yours.

She hands me a taped library overdue notice, all of the ragged corners perfectly matched, even the split letters lined up and repaired. Richard von Behren, it says, 653 Oak. Four streets away from my old house. I picture Richard von Behren with one of those regal profiles, a sharp face like a statue"s. He"s clearly in a hurry, so impatient with his pile of mail and bills that he doesn"t save and shred.

Break time. Little Fry always lights up first because she"s the hungriest. She pa.s.ses to me as we slump on the couch. James walks in to retrieve me and air comes punching into the room. He carries his own weather, RJ said one time when he was gakked.

In bed is where reputation gets iffy. It"s only as good as who"s on top of you, a girl named Share, who is no longer with us, used to say. I wonder what that means vis-a-vis James.

Oh, but James goes down, unlike most guys. When you"re made of iron and bra.s.s, I think, sliding up on the pillow, you"re not afraid of anything.

s.e.x is as selfish as drugs, I think, my nerves undulating inside my arms and legs like earthworms, and I like to be selfish, at least that"s what my parents used to say, screaming outside my bedroom door. James doesn"t have to work hard or long. He just breathes on me, just shivers me, until I answer back and then James disappears in a suck of air. I don"t open my eyes until he"s in and over me. Then I come again while he watches. The sun sets over his shoulder, a red blazing that seems to start the cornstalks on fire, while the last of the light slides off the side of the barn. James always leaves me gasping. From the bed, I grab his ankles. He puts on his jeans anyway.

I get dressed and go out to the living room. RJ has turned on the light over the barn door, so we know he"s out there with the chef. Little Fry is back at the table, guzzling Mountain Dew. She solves the puzzle of the paper strips. The house shakes with James"s absence, every atom chiding us.

Merilee, she of the cheery name, is James"s wife. She lives elsewhere. Sometime in the morning she comes in her TrailBlazer with Riley, the boy she has with James. Merilee lets Riley lay on the horn until James comes out, pulling cash from his back pocket. She does all right-the b.i.t.c.h, James always says after she leaves. Then he laughs. Today Merilee and James talk at the car window, while Riley pulls at the ends of James"s long hair.

Fritzie, keep going, RJ says. I"m sweeping in front of his mop: double-team double-clean, RJ calls it. He"d lick the floor if he could. Little Fry continues her Good Work at the table, selfless and tireless, like a nun. James sometimes calls her Holy One, she does her one thing so pure.

Oh, Merilee, I think, how have you kept your narrow waist, your big b.o.o.bs, and your auburn hair to the ripe age of thirty-five? Oh, Merilee, how do you hold on to a husband/boyfriend/father/sugar daddy/f.u.c.ker like James? Merilee, how? Neither James nor Merilee use anymore. Because of Riley, Merilee says, which James claims too. But I know it"s really because James is CEO. You can"t run a business and do its work at the same time.

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