Chapter 1157: A duel of guessing numbers (middle two)
Translator: 549690339
“Mr. Jing?” Feng bujue immediately understood the meaning of this term.”Oh … It’s duskface (in Beijing Opera, the word ‘clean’ is usually called duskface, meaning ‘clean’,’Deputy clean’, and ‘clean’ correspond to duskface,’duskface’,’duskface’,’duskface’,’duskface’, and ‘duskface’)?”
“Don’t try to fool me. ” Mr. Jing was surprised that brother Jue understood what he meant by that form of address, but he did not plan to continue the conversation.”How should I address you? A jinx?”
“Sure,” Feng bujue laughed.”You can call me corvine mouth.”
“Hmph …” Mr. Jing snorted coldly.”Then, I’ll start to set the question. You jinx.”
As he spoke, he picked up the pen and paper in front of him.
!!
“Please.” Feng bujue held his drink and supported himself with one elbow on the table. (The cart was about 1.25 meters tall, and for an average adult, as long as they leaned forward, they could rest with their elbow on the table.) He answered easily.
…………
According to the rules, the number-guessing game was divided into two rounds. In the first round, the Challenger would place a bet and guess the answer, while the Challenger would be responsible for setting the question.
And in each round, there were “two parts” that needed to be noted:
In the first part, the correct answer would be guessed within “a few rounds”, and the question setter would place bets according to the number of rounds given by the opponent. The minimum bet amount must not be less than 1% of the total amount of gold they held at the beginning of the duel; This time, the number of stakes was fixed, and the guessing side could not raise any more stakes, but had to follow up.
For example … If the conjecturer declared that he could guess the answer “within five rounds.” Obviously, the probability of such a thing happening was almost zero. At this time, the question maker would definitely call the highest bet that they could call, and the Challenger had to follow up (in the case of not having as much money as the other party, they would follow the organizer’s Rule 2, bet everything, and continue the duel).
Then, when the match was “completely over,” the two sides would calculate the cost based on the number of rounds.
Of course, such a situation was unlikely to happen …
Because the ‘part’ of the bet, the ‘part of the bet’, was generally to give money to the guessing party.
As long as the conjectures said ” 100 rounds” or ” 1000 rounds” in their declaration, they would basically win. That was why this part was called a note … In the face of that kind of number, the question maker would definitely only call the lowest note he could.
In other words, after the victory of this round, as long as the answer party didn’t lose all of their money during the duel, they could get a small sum of money back from the question setter at settlement.
This setting was mainly set up in consideration of the obvious disadvantage of the guessing team in the duel.
Then, he looked at the remark for the second part:
This part was repeated throughout the duel … In every round, the guessing party had to make a bet, and the amount of bet each time could not be less than 1% of the maximum amount of money they could hold. The question maker had two choices-first, note; Second, surrender.
Placing a bet naturally meant that the game would continue.”Surrender” meant that the person who set the question had admitted defeat. After the person paid the corresponding fine, the round would end.
If the rule of “bet round” was to protect the conjecturer, then the rule of “surrender” was naturally to protect the questioner.
Let me give you an example … If there was no’ surrender ‘option, then all the conjectors could use a very simple tactic to guarantee that they would win money. That was, from the first round, they would only place the minimum bet in each round, and then they would bet all their remaining money on the round that they guessed correctly.
In terms of this tactic, as long as one could guess the answer within 50 rounds, the conjurer would be in an invincible position; This didn’t even take into account the amount of “bet rounds” before each round started.
Hence, there was the ‘surrender’ setting.
Of course, there was a limit to “surrendering”, or else the question setter could also use this to win … For example, suddenly surrendering after ten to twenty rounds in the game, and then quit while you were ahead.
In order to prevent such a thing from happening, there was a “surrender fine.”
In this duel of guessing numbers, there were two ways to calculate the fine for surrendering.
The first one was for those who surrendered in the first 20 rounds. The formula was: 10% of the opponent’s money at the start of the round *(50+ rounds completed) %+10% of the opponent’s bet + the base fine.
The second was the formula used starting from Round 21:10% of the opponent’s money at the start of the round *(50 pounds of completed rounds)+10% of the opponent’s bet in this round + the base fine.
The ‘base fine’ was divided according to the number of rounds. The penalty for surrendering within the first ten rounds was 5% of the opponent’s total amount at the start of the round, while the penalty for surrendering within the first eleven to twenty rounds was 10% of the opponent’s total amount at the start of the round. At the twenty-first to thirty rounds, the penalty would rise to 20% of the opponent’s total amount at the start of the round … And from the thirty-first round, the penalty would return to zero.
Let’s give another example … In a match, both sides held 100000 dollars at the beginning, and the conjurer bet 1% every round, losing 30000 dollars after 30 rounds. Then, in the 31st round, he was confident that he would win. At that time, he put all of his remaining 70000 dollars on the bet.
Seeing this, the question setter chose to surrender … At this time, the question setter had to pay a fine of 10% of the 100000 dollars multiplied by 20 (50 30), which was 2000 dollars … Plus the 10% bet of the other side, which was 7000 dollars … Plus the basic fine of zero, a total of 9000 dollars had to be paid.
Although he spat out 9000 Yuan in one go, it was much better than 70000 Yuan.
In short, when the question setter chose to surrender, the game was over. Using the above example, the result was that the question setter won 21000 dollars from guessing the answer.
After this part of the settlement was completed, the two parties would then proceed to the ’round bet’ settlement. a.s.suming that the answer party declared “within 100 rounds”, and the question setter offered the lowest price of 1000 dollars, then … The question setter would give the answer party another 1000 dollars, and the final net win would be 20000 dollars.
This was the general plot of how the question setter would choose the time to surrender by guessing the opponent’s bet.
Then … Under the same conditions, if the question setter chose the “quit while you’re ahead” tactic, what would happen?
I won’t list the detailed calculation process here, let’s look at the results directly … Let’s deduce it based on the condition that both sides have 100000 dollars and the concerer bets 1000 dollars each time.
If the person who set the question surrendered in the first round (note, the extra percentage in the first round is 50+0, not 50+1), they would lose 10100, and the second round would be 10200. After that, each round would increase by 100 dollars until the tenth round.
In other words, the person who set the question would lose money if he surrendered in any of the first ten rounds.
Starting from the eleventh round, due to the increase in the base fine, the fine for surrendering jumped to 16100, and it would be increased by 100 for every round after that. In this way, by the eighteenth round, the person who set the question would have the chance to “quit while he’s ahead.” If they surrendered in this round, they would be fined 16800 Yuan. The amount they earned in the previous seventeen rounds was 17000 Yuan, so they would earn 200 yuan. However, don’t forget that there was still the money from the “round bet”. If he counted that one, he would still have to pay … So he had to wait for another round. On the nineteenth round, he earned 18000, fined 16900, and gambled 1000. At that time, he had earned 100 …
Therefore, in the first 20 rounds, there were only two chances to “win”, and that was to surrender on the 19th and 20th round. According to the formula, the former could earn 100, and the latter 1000 …
But … It’s rare for you to be a question setter, and you’re done just because you earn 1000? Don’t forget that this game was a “first to win” game, and it didn’t mean that you would be able to advance without losing money.
So, let’s look at the situation at the beginning of Round 21 …
At the start of the round, the formula had changed, but the basic fine had increased again. The fine for surrendering in the twenty-first round was 23100, and it would be reduced by 100 for every round after that. It was obvious … From this round onwards, the surrender mechanism began to favor the protection of the question setter. This was because after twenty rounds, the probability of guessing the answer was getting higher and higher.
In this way, if he counted the 1000 points from the round bet, the 25th round would be a dividing line. The fine for this round was 22700, and with the 1000 from the gambling round, it was 23700. However, the money won by the person who set the question was 24000. Of course, he only earned 300 yuan, so that wasn’t the main point …
The main point was that from this round onwards, with every round, the winner’s winning prize would increase by 1100 dollars if the question setter suddenly surrendered.
After six rounds, the “base fine” returned to zero on the 31st round, and the person who set the question suddenly had an extra 20000. In this round, if he didn’t raise the bet, the fine of the question setter would only be 2100 dollars. He had already won 30000 dollars. Even if he didn’t take out the money from the rounds, he still made a net profit of 26900 dollars …
In summary, the key confrontation in this number guessing game was between round 25 and round 30 … If the person who guessed the correct answer couldn’t guess the correct answer before Round 31, then the person who set the question could immediately surrender and earn 29% of your chips. Even if you guessed the correct answer by Round 31, you would only recover about 10% of your loss.
Of course, even though I’ve said a lot, it’s all in theory.
In a real battle, all kinds of situations could happen …
Perhaps some people could guess the answer within twenty-five rounds; Perhaps someone could raise their bargaining chip to exert pressure without guessing it; Perhaps some people would think that they had guessed correctly, or when they saw that the 30 rounds were about to pa.s.s, they would force additional stakes, but the other party would see through them and follow up …
On the gambling table, there was deception, calculation, acting, and being seen through … Anything could happen.
In the world of gambling, probability didn’t respect you, and luck didn’t exist.
The luck gained from praying 10000 times was not as good as the skills gained from training 10000 times.
The weak would be defeated, swallowed, and crushed … And would not receive any sympathy.
To win and live on … That was the only justice in this world.
…………
A minute later, Mr. Jing had written six numbers on the paper in front of him.
Then, he folded the paper, carefully protected it with his palm, and handed it to the man in the suit and sungla.s.ses next to the cart.
The latter also took the paper carefully and turned around. He used his broad back to block Feng bujue’s view before he unfolded the paper to read the number on it.
Two seconds later, the man in the suit and sungla.s.ses folded the paper again and put it in his s.h.i.+rt pocket.
He turned around and stood facing the table again. Then he said to Mr. Jing,””Once a number is confirmed, it can not be changed, so I need to confirm with you that the six numbers just now … Are they okay?”
“Sure.” “I’m sure,” Mr. Jing replied firmly.
“Yes.” The man in the suit and sungla.s.ses nodded.”You’ve read the rules, but I still have to emphasize a few points …” He paused for half a second and continued,”first of all, if you’re caught cheating, you’ll be immediately judged to have lost, and all the money will belong to the other party.” As he spoke, he pointed to a small device on the table.”Secondly, the timer on the table is similar to the ones used in chess games. It records the time used by both sides. The conjurer’s total time is forty-five minutes. If he still can’t guess the answer within this time, then no matter how many rounds are going on, how much money both parties have, and how much money the ‘gambling round’ has … It will be considered a ‘complete defeat’ for the conjurer, and the loser’s winnings will all belong to the other party. ” He paused and continued,”in addition, the time for the conjurer to call out a note, the question setter to follow up, and the time for the question setter to give feedback to the conjurer’s answer are all calculated separately. Both calling out a note and following up must be completed within one minute, and the feedback time is only 30 seconds. Those who break the rules will be penalized 1% of the maximum starting bid for the first time, 2% for the second time, and so on …”
The rules that the man in a suit had just emphasized were indeed very important. There was no need to mention the punishment for cheating … The organizer had naturally taken into account the situation of ‘maliciously delaying time’ when designing the game. With such a high price,”delaying time”, which was an ugly and lacking method, would not appear.
This way, the pace of the game could be maintained and it would create a considerable amount of pressure …
The various reactions of the “guests” under pressure were exactly what the host wanted to see.
“Ah~ah~I know, can we start now?” After hearing what the man in the suit had to say, Feng bujue started to get impatient.
The man in a suit didn’t answer him. Instead, he looked at both sides of the duel expressionlessly and raised his hand to the timer.
After confirming brother Jue and Mr. Jing’s reactions, the man in the suit said,””Since both sides have no objections, then … Let the duel begin!”